tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.comments2023-12-09T03:51:33.158-05:00Various ConsequencesJoshua Stultshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comBlogger792125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-21160618699091608242021-05-25T06:35:42.422-04:002021-05-25T06:35:42.422-04:00The Sovereign Individual<a href="https://www.lopp.net/pdf/The%20Sovereign%20Individual.pdf" rel="nofollow">The Sovereign Individual</a>Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-15310792930719098122021-05-25T06:35:07.042-04:002021-05-25T06:35:07.042-04:00Cryptoeconomics<a href="https://voskuil.org/cryptoeconomics/cryptoeconomics.pdf" rel="nofollow">Cryptoeconomics</a> Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-79663796392050979792021-05-25T06:34:17.729-04:002021-05-25T06:34:17.729-04:00How Should the U.S. Respond to China’s Military-Ci...<a href="https://www.chinafile.com/conversation/how-should-us-respond-chinas-military-civil-fusion-strategy" rel="nofollow">How Should the U.S. Respond to China’s Military-Civil Fusion Strategy?</a>Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-34835963415808950062021-05-21T06:13:38.838-04:002021-05-21T06:13:38.838-04:00How the Pentagon Started Taking U.F.O.s Seriously<a href="https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2021/05/10/how-the-pentagon-started-taking-ufos-seriously" rel="nofollow">How the Pentagon Started Taking U.F.O.s Seriously</a> Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-30497353347229831312021-05-13T09:58:39.001-04:002021-05-13T09:58:39.001-04:00"The AI competition is also a values competit..."The AI competition is also a values competition. China’s domestic use of AI is a chilling precedent for anyone around the world who cherishes individual liberty. Its employment of AI as a tool of repression and surveillance—at home and, increasingly, abroad—is a powerful counterpoint to how we believe AI should be used."Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-46719086565618705002021-05-12T15:56:10.921-04:002021-05-12T15:56:10.921-04:00National Security Commission on Artificial Intelli...<a href="https://www.nscai.gov/" rel="nofollow">National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence</a> <a href="https://www.nscai.gov/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Full-Report-Digital-1.pdf" rel="nofollow">Final Report</a> Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-40918830034780276522021-05-03T07:48:02.126-04:002021-05-03T07:48:02.126-04:00The Universal Law That Aims Time’s Arrow<a href="https://getpocket.com/explore/item/the-universal-law-that-aims-time-s-arrow" rel="nofollow">The Universal Law That Aims Time’s Arrow</a><br />Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-25079488541541458632021-05-03T07:24:34.256-04:002021-05-03T07:24:34.256-04:00Bayesian Optimization is Superior to Random Search...<a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2104.10201" rel="nofollow">Bayesian Optimization is Superior to Random Search for Machine Learning Hyperparameter Tuning</a>: analysis of the black-box optimization challenge 2020 <br />Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-12921548643656501422021-05-03T07:23:31.807-04:002021-05-03T07:23:31.807-04:00China's Coming Pro-Natalist Campaign<a href="https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/china%E2%80%99s-coming-pro-natalist-campaign-183195" rel="nofollow">China's Coming Pro-Natalist Campaign</a>Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-74240501516003751682021-04-28T13:29:23.044-04:002021-04-28T13:29:23.044-04:00How Maxwell's Demon Continues to Startle Scien...<a href="https://www.quantamagazine.org/how-maxwells-demon-continues-to-startle-scientists-20210422/" rel="nofollow">How Maxwell's Demon Continues to Startle Scientists</a> Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-58258436920712843942021-04-23T08:26:39.581-04:002021-04-23T08:26:39.581-04:00https://wtf1971.com/<a href="https://wtf1971.com/" rel="nofollow">https://wtf1971.com/</a> Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-23916972892491893472021-04-22T10:47:09.863-04:002021-04-22T10:47:09.863-04:00What is a Cypherpunk?
Cypherpunk (wiki)
A Cypherp...What is a Cypherpunk? <br /><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cypherpunk" rel="nofollow">Cypherpunk (wiki)</a><br /><a href="https://www.activism.net/cypherpunk/manifesto.html" rel="nofollow">A Cypherpunk's Manifesto</a><br /><a href="https://nakamoto.com/the-cypherpunks/" rel="nofollow">The Cypherpunks</a><br />Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-65880782267170301412021-04-22T09:54:41.925-04:002021-04-22T09:54:41.925-04:00WTF Happened In 1971?
podcasts<a href="https://wtfhappenedin1971.com/" rel="nofollow">WTF Happened In 1971?</a> <br /><br /><a href="https://wtfhappenedin1971.com/podcast-discussions-in-order-of-appearance/" rel="nofollow">podcasts</a> <br />Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-91186714692434352192021-04-20T12:27:29.732-04:002021-04-20T12:27:29.732-04:00Southwest Kiln Conference<a href="https://www.swkiln.com/" rel="nofollow">Southwest Kiln Conference</a>Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-63770613484923399522021-04-14T09:06:52.253-04:002021-04-14T09:06:52.253-04:00Understanding Modern Monetary Theory Part I<a href="https://www.econlib.org/library/Columns/y2021/SumnermodernmonetarytheoryPartI.html" rel="nofollow">Understanding Modern Monetary Theory Part I</a>Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-48902257164689593442021-04-14T08:44:19.097-04:002021-04-14T08:44:19.097-04:00The Ends of Four Big Inflations<a href="https://www.nber.org/system/files/chapters/c11452/c11452.pdf" rel="nofollow">The Ends of Four Big Inflations</a>Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-7785156336869905662021-04-14T08:42:37.047-04:002021-04-14T08:42:37.047-04:00"...what makes MMT unique is that it's th..."...what makes MMT unique is that it's the only school of thought (should it be even considered as such) to combine calls for not only increased, but unlimited deficit spending with the argument that central banks can print money to pay off these debts without prompting inflation. There is simply no truth to this assertion. In fact, the reality is much the opposite: As interest costs consume increasing portions of revenue, at a certain point, the government cannot afford to borrow any longer. If the government resorts to printing money to pay its debts, inflation will ultimately follow.<br /><br />In searching for radical theories to advocate radical policies, MMT apologists have inadvertently come to endorse an approach to economic theory that not only flies in the face of decades of economic research and historical precedent, but would be devastating if ever tested. By tempting progressive politicians into endorsing "dangerous" and "obviously indefensible" economic theories, MMT advocates are setting the stage for potentially disastrous policymaking."Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-14395723651741994812021-04-14T08:30:14.396-04:002021-04-14T08:30:14.396-04:00The Weakness of Modern Monetary Theory
There are ...<a href="https://www.nationalaffairs.com/publications/detail/the-weakness-of-modern-monetary-theory" rel="nofollow">The Weakness of Modern Monetary Theory</a> <br />There are theoretical and empirical limits. Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-67461702723028144392021-04-02T12:03:22.674-04:002021-04-02T12:03:22.674-04:00Venturing through the Pandemic
"Lockheed Ma...<a href="https://aerospaceamerica.aiaa.org/features/venturing-through-the-pandemic/" rel="nofollow">Venturing through the Pandemic</a> <br />"Lockheed Martin Ventures lays claim to the earliest investments, dating back to 2007, though 36 of the 56 companies Lockheed Martin Ventures has invested in have joined the portfolio just since 2016.<br /><br />Airbus Ventures started investing in 2016 and lists 39 companies in its portfolio, including the space debris-mapping company LeoLabs, which operates radars in Alaska, New Zealand and Texas to track objects in low-Earth orbit.<br /><br />Boeing established HorizonX Ventures the following year and has invested in 34 startups, including nine in 2020.<br /><br />The companies usually don’t disclose specific investment amounts for competitive reasons. HorizonX says typical investments in earlier-stage companies range from $1 million to $10 million.<br /><br />The big three may make investments that are less about a near-term profit, as the executives tell it, and more about advancing technology that could further certain broader strategic goals, either for the corporation itself or for the startups in its portfolio."Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-25511454792676572422021-04-02T10:00:40.428-04:002021-04-02T10:00:40.428-04:00Investing With Leverage (Borrowing to Invest, Leve...<a href="https://youtu.be/Ll3TCEz4g1k" rel="nofollow">Investing With Leverage (Borrowing to Invest, Leveraged ETFs)</a><br /> (video) "proceed with caution" <br /><a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1149340" rel="nofollow">Life-Cycle Investing and Leverage: Buying Stock on Margin Can Reduce Retirement Risk</a><br /><a href="http://docs.lhpedersen.com/EmbeddedLeverage.pdf" rel="nofollow">Embedded Leverage</a><br /><a href="https://www.aqr.com/Insights/Research/Alternative-Thinking/Why-Do-Most-Investors-Choose-Concentration-Over-Leverage" rel="nofollow">Why Do Most Investors Choose Concentration Over Leverage</a> <a href="https://images.aqr.com/-/media/AQR/Documents/Insights/Alternative-Thinking/Alternative-Thinking-Why-Do-Most-Investors-Choose-Concentration-Over-Leverage.pdf" rel="nofollow">pdf</a><br /><a href="https://etfdb.com/leveraged-etfs/under-the-hood-of-leveraged-etfs/" rel="nofollow">Leveraged ETF Rebalancing: An ETFdb.com Guide</a> <br /><a href="https://www.math.nyu.edu/faculty/avellane/SIAMLETFS.pdf.pdf" rel="nofollow">Path Dependence of Leveraged ETF Returns</a><br /><a href="" rel="nofollow"></a>, need on the order of weekly re-balancing<br /> Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-42810185631210103092021-04-02T09:45:11.958-04:002021-04-02T09:45:11.958-04:00A Five-factor Asset Pricing Model pdf
Five Factor...<a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2287202" rel="nofollow">A Five-factor Asset Pricing Model</a> <a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm/SSRN_ID2499602_code998.pdf" rel="nofollow">pdf</a> <br /><a href="https://www.pwlcapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/Five-Factor-Investing-with-ETFs.pdf" rel="nofollow">Five Factor Investing with ETFs</a>Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-8863202373854761942021-04-01T10:46:19.371-04:002021-04-01T10:46:19.371-04:00China’s disinformation on Xinjiang is political wa...<a href="https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/chinas-disinformation-on-xinjiang-is-political-warfare-not-diplomacy/" rel="nofollow">China’s disinformation on Xinjiang is political warfare, not diplomacy</a>Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-23755089573423717402021-04-01T09:53:06.363-04:002021-04-01T09:53:06.363-04:00Myths and Realities of China’s Military-Civil Fusi...<a href="https://www.cnas.org/publications/reports/myths-and-realities-of-chinas-military-civil-fusion-strategy" rel="nofollow">Myths and Realities of China’s Military-Civil Fusion Strategy</a>Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-29724256911074523372021-04-01T08:53:31.180-04:002021-04-01T08:53:31.180-04:00Mackinder, H.J., The geographical pivot of history...Mackinder, H.J., <a href="https://www.iwp.edu/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/20131016_MackinderTheGeographicalJournal.pdf" rel="nofollow">The geographical pivot of history</a>, The Geographical Journal, Vol. 170, No. 4, December 2004, pp. 298 – 321 Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5822805028291837738.post-82417729462505736912021-04-01T08:51:34.601-04:002021-04-01T08:51:34.601-04:00Mackinder’s Nightmare: Part One
Mackinder’s Nightm...<a href="https://www.fpri.org/article/2019/10/mackinders-nightmare-part-one/" rel="nofollow">Mackinder’s Nightmare: Part One</a><br /><a href="https://www.fpri.org/article/2019/10/mackinders-nightmare-part-two/" rel="nofollow">Mackinder’s Nightmare: Part Two</a>Joshua Stultshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03506970399027046387noreply@blogger.com